{"id":12746,"date":"2025-10-03T10:16:35","date_gmt":"2025-10-03T10:16:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/?p=12746"},"modified":"2025-10-03T10:16:44","modified_gmt":"2025-10-03T10:16:44","slug":"fiscal-rules-still-too-weak-to-prevent-another-crisis-world-bank","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/fiscal-rules-still-too-weak-to-prevent-another-crisis-world-bank\/","title":{"rendered":"Fiscal rules still too weak to prevent another crisis \u2013 World Bank"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The current fiscal framework is inadequate to safeguard the economy from another debt crisis, the World Bank has warned \u2013 calling for a sweeping overhaul of public financial management, stricter discipline and stronger revenue measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In its latest policy note, \u2018Transforming Ghana in a Generation\u2019, the Bank argued that fiscal credibility must be restored through \u201csustained consolidation\u201d and cautions against a premature return to international capital markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cInvestors would see such a move as taking the easy way out,\u201d the report stated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cMaintaining the momentum on fiscal consolidation is the most pressing priority. Government should focus on both spending and revenue measures to meet IMF targets and avoid premature access to the Eurobond market,\u201d the Bank added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This comes following defaults on&nbsp; external debt in December 2022, following years of fiscal slippage, energy sector losses and chronic revenue shortfalls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Inflation peaked at 54.1 percent, the cedi depreciated sharply and more than 800,000 people were pushed into poverty. A bailout programme from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), combined with a domestic debt restructuring, has since helped restore macroeconomic stability. By end-2024, inflation had declined to approximately 24 percent and 11.5 percent by end-August 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Despite this progress, the World Bank flags renewed fiscal risks. In 2024, an election year, unbudgeted expenditures amounting to US$4.8billion pushed the fiscal deficit to 7.9 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) \u2013 far exceeding government\u2019s target of 4.2 percent. Such deviations, the report noted, reflect the limited effectiveness of the Fiscal Responsibility Act passed in 2018 which was intended to limit the deficit to five percent of GDP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Bank recommended a comprehensive revision of Ghana\u2019s fiscal rules. Proposed measures include targetting a primary surplus of at least 1.5 percent of GDP annually and reducing the debt-to-GDP ratio to 45 percent or lower by 2034. It also calls for enhanced parliamentary oversight and the operational independence of the Fiscal Council, which remains largely advisory in its current form.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Revenue mobilisation remains a persistent challenge. Ghana\u2019s tax-to-GDP ratio lags regional peers, constrained by widespread exemptions, poor compliance and a narrow tax base dominated by indirect taxes. The World Bank estimated that VAT exemptions alone cost nearly two percent of GDP each year. The report urged government to enforce the Tax Exemptions Act, broaden the tax base and explore underutilised streams such as property taxes and levies on digital services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">State-owned enterprises continue to impose a significant burden on public finances. The Electricity Company of Ghana (ECG), for example, has accumulated arrears despite annual transfers exceeding one billion US dollars. The Ghana Cocoa Board (COCOBOD), meanwhile, saw its debt rise to&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; US$1.8billion in 2024 \u2013 even amid record global cocoa prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe fiscal risks emanating from energy and cocoa SOEs remain significant,\u201d a portion of the report read.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It stressed that reform \u201ccannot be delayed further\u201d. Both ECG and COCOBOD are identified as requiring urgent restructuring to stem financial losses, improve operational performance and curb quasi-fiscal expenditures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The World Bank\u2019s analysis reiterated the fragility of Ghana\u2019s recovery. While the economy has stabilised following the 2022 default, its underlying fiscal architecture remains vulnerable to shocks and political pressures. Without deeper institutional reforms and stronger enforcement mechanisms, the risk of a return to unsustainable borrowing and future debt distress remains high.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cGhana has an opportunity to break with the cycle of crisis and consolidation. But it will require discipline, transparency and a renewed commitment to fiscal responsibility,\u201d the report added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Click<strong>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/thebftonline.com\/2025\/10\/01\/fiscal-rules-still-too-weak-to-prevent-another-crisis-world-bank\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">here<\/a><\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/thebftonline.com\/2025\/10\/01\/fiscal-rules-still-too-weak-to-prevent-another-crisis-world-bank\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">\u00a0<\/a>for source.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The current fiscal framework is inadequate to safeguard the economy from another debt crisis, the World Bank has warned \u2013 calling for a sweeping overhaul of public financial management, stricter discipline and stronger revenue measures.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":12748,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[153],"tags":[168,163,167],"class_list":["post-12746","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-articles","tag-economy","tag-news","tag-world-bank"],"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":17452,"url":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/half-year-performance-best-in-years\/","url_meta":{"origin":12746,"position":0},"title":"Half-Year Performance Best in Years","author":"Paul N.","date":"July 24, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Excerpt: Ghana\u2019s economy has recorded its best half-year performance in years, signalling improving macroeconomic conditions and strengthening business confidence, according to the Daily Graphic. The gains reflect ongoing fiscal consolidation and economic management efforts, while sustained progress will depend on continued fiscal discipline and sound economic policies.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;News Articles&quot;","block_context":{"text":"News Articles","link":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/category\/news-articles\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/ESQ-Elsie-18-1.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/ESQ-Elsie-18-1.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/ESQ-Elsie-18-1.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/ESQ-Elsie-18-1.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/ESQ-Elsie-18-1.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":18937,"url":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/delays-in-goldbod-energy-and-cocoa-reforms-threaten-ghanas-debt-gains-world-bank\/","url_meta":{"origin":12746,"position":1},"title":"Delays in GoldBod, energy and cocoa reforms threaten Ghana\u2019s debt gains \u2013 World Bank","author":"Paul N.","date":"September 4, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"The World Bank is urging Ghana to accelerate key sector reforms and strengthen fiscal risk management to protect recent progress in stabilising public finances and reducing debt vulnerabilities.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;News Articles&quot;","block_context":{"text":"News Articles","link":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/category\/news-articles\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/ESQ-Elsie-43.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/ESQ-Elsie-43.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/ESQ-Elsie-43.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/ESQ-Elsie-43.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/ESQ-Elsie-43.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":16100,"url":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/ceo-summit-mahama-positions-private-sector-at-centre-of-post-imf-growth-strategy\/","url_meta":{"origin":12746,"position":2},"title":"CEO Summit: Mahama positions private sector at centre of post-IMF growth strategy","author":"Grace Agorigo","date":"June 5, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"President John Dramani Mahama, during remarks at the 10th Ghana CEO Summit, has described the private sector as the principal driver of Ghana\u2019s next phase of economic expansion. He said the role of private enterprise had become even more critical as the country transitions from a period of crisis stabilisation\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;News Articles&quot;","block_context":{"text":"News Articles","link":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/category\/news-articles\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ESQ-Elsie.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ESQ-Elsie.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ESQ-Elsie.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ESQ-Elsie.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ESQ-Elsie.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":15983,"url":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/imf-backs-post-bailout-framework-as-govt-pursues-fiscal-credibility\/","url_meta":{"origin":12746,"position":3},"title":"IMF backs post-bailout framework, as gov\u2019t pursues fiscal credibility","author":"Grace Agorigo","date":"May 22, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"The government has secured International Monetary Fund (IMF) staff-level backing for a new three-year Policy Coordination Instrument (PCI), marking the country\u2019s transition from crisis-era financing under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) toward a reform-focused framework aimed at preserving macroeconomic stability and restoring long-term investor confidence. The IMF said its staff\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;News Articles&quot;","block_context":{"text":"News Articles","link":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/category\/news-articles\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SNBN-11.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SNBN-11.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SNBN-11.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SNBN-11.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SNBN-11.png?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":14094,"url":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/the-2026-budget-a-promising-reset\/","url_meta":{"origin":12746,"position":4},"title":"The 2026 Budget: A promising reset","author":"Michael Teye","date":"November 28, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The Government\u2019s 2026 Budget, themed\u00a0\u201cResetting for Growth, Jobs and Economic Transformation,\u201d\u00a0starts with a tale of macroeconomic resurgence and national revival. 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