{"id":13133,"date":"2025-08-08T12:17:29","date_gmt":"2025-08-08T12:17:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/?p=13133"},"modified":"2025-10-07T13:18:12","modified_gmt":"2025-10-07T13:18:12","slug":"inflation-is-falling-the-cedi-is-rising-so-why-are-prices-still-high","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/inflation-is-falling-the-cedi-is-rising-so-why-are-prices-still-high\/","title":{"rendered":"Inflation is falling, the cedi is rising: So why are prices still high?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ghana is currently experiencing what should be a moment of economic optimism. Inflation has been on a steady decline throughout the first half of 2025, and for the first time in years, there\u2019s a glimmer of macroeconomic stability.<\/p>\n<p>Deloitte and the IMF are both projecting single-digit inflation by year-end\u2014with the IMF forecasting as low as 8%. In June 2025, annual inflation dropped sharply to 13.7% from 18.4% the previous month. Month-on-month prices fell by 1.2%, a sign that the macro indicators are heading in the right direction.<\/p>\n<p>The Ghanaian Cedi has also made an extraordinary comeback. It appreciated by 42% against the U.S. dollar, 30.3% against the British Pound, and 25.6% against the euro. The exchange rate moved from a staggering GHS17 (November 2024) to GHS10.30 (June 2025) on the interbank market\u2014gains not seen in recent memory.<\/p>\n<p>In theory, this is great news. In reality, though, many Ghanaians are asking a very simple question: Why isn\u2019t any of this reflecting in the market?<\/p>\n<p>Essential goods like home grown foodstuff, cement, and building materials continue to see price hikes or remain stubbornly high. A recent PwC survey confirms the disconnect: 45% of respondents said the inflation decline is not translating into real-life relief. This raises a critical question for the government and policymakers\u2014what good are strong macroeconomic numbers if ordinary people still can\u2019t afford basic necessities?<\/p>\n<p>Falling Inflation, Rising Food Prices<\/p>\n<p>The issue lies in the structure of our food systems. Food inflation remains high because despite the consistent drop in the rate of price increases, prices themselves are still increasing, albeit at a slower pace. That\u2019s partly due to the lingering effects of earlier high production costs, seasonal supply fluctuations, and deep-rooted inefficiencies in local supply chains.<\/p>\n<p>But one cannot ignore the human element: the disproportionate control wielded by market queens and middlemen over Ghana\u2019s food distribution system. These actors dictate prices, quantities, and even the flow of goods from farms to market stalls. Their stranglehold on the food chain is so strong that it shapes what\u2019s available to consumers and at what cost.<\/p>\n<p>The World Food Program estimates that Ghana loses about $2 billion annually to post-harvest losses\u2014largely due to poor storage and processing capacity. Yet this inefficiency thrives in part because it supports a system of price manipulation and limited accountability.<\/p>\n<p>Other key drivers of high prices include unregulated cost of delivery services and galamsey. Delivery charges are often arbitrary\u2014sometimes exceeding the cost of the item itself\u2014due to a lack of regulation, allowing vendors and dispatchers alike to set prices at will.<\/p>\n<p>Galamsey activities continue to devastate arable land, turning fertile fields into deep pits reducing available land for farming; and soil quality as well. This degradation, along with water contamination and labor shifts from agriculture to mining, has cut food production, driven up prices, increased reliance on imports, and worsened food insecurity.<\/p>\n<p>Many of these powerful market actors are politically connected, making it difficult for successive governments to decisively intervene.<\/p>\n<p>Even cement prices, which are not directly food-related, are telling. As the Roads Minister, Kwame Governs Agbodza, recently asked: Why is a bag of cement still selling for GHS120 when macro conditions should support a price closer to GHS95? who is benefiting from these inflated prices?<\/p>\n<p>The answer is clear\u2014not the ordinary Ghanaian.<\/p>\n<p>What Must Government Do?<\/p>\n<p>This is not just an economic dilemma; it\u2019s a governance challenge. If falling inflation and a strong Cedi aren\u2019t reducing the cost of living, then there is something fundamentally wrong with the system \u2014and that needs fixing.<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s what the government should consider doing to make the macroeconomic gains translate into market reality:<\/p>\n<p>Scale Up Social Interventions<\/p>\n<p>Immediate relief is crucial. Programs like the Livelihood Empowerment Against Poverty (LEAP) and food vouchers must be expanded and more efficiently targeted. These should be linked to community-level food distribution systems that bypass exploitative market channels.<\/p>\n<p> Boost Local Food Production<\/p>\n<p>Ghana must address the root cause of food price instability\u2014insufficient domestic supply. This requires investment in irrigation to extend growing seasons, support for mechanization, access to quality seeds, and robust extension services for farmers.<\/p>\n<p>Click here for source<\/p>\n<p>There is another article related to this subject that might be of interest. Click here for the article.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ghana is currently experiencing what should be a moment of economic optimism. Inflation has been on a steady decline throughout the first half of 2025, and for the first time in years, there\u2019s a glimmer of macroeconomic stability.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":13162,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[153],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13133","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-articles"],"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":16253,"url":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/rate-cut-window-narrows-on-inflation-pressures\/","url_meta":{"origin":13133,"position":0},"title":"Rate-cut window narrows on inflation pressures","author":"Paul N.","date":"June 12, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Room for further monetary policy easing is narrowing after inflation accelerated for a second consecutive month in May, reinforcing concerns within financial markets that the Bank of Ghana (BoG) may have to extend its pause in the rate-cut cycle despite inflation remaining below the medium-term target band. Headline inflation rose\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;News Articles&quot;","block_context":{"text":"News Articles","link":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/category\/news-articles\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ESQ-Elsie-3.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ESQ-Elsie-3.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ESQ-Elsie-3.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ESQ-Elsie-3.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ESQ-Elsie-3.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":15682,"url":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/cedi-posts-best-q1-in-half-decade\/","url_meta":{"origin":13133,"position":1},"title":"Cedi posts best Q1 in half-decade","author":"Michael Teye","date":"April 17, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"The cedi is poised for additional declines through year-end even after posting its strongest first-quarter performance since at least 2021, as seasonal import demand and energy payments weigh on a currency that has nonetheless staged one of Africa\u2019s more remarkable recoveries from a debt-crisis low.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;News Articles&quot;","block_context":{"text":"News Articles","link":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/category\/news-articles\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Currency-scaled.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Currency-scaled.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Currency-scaled.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Currency-scaled.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Currency-scaled.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Currency-scaled.jpg?resize=1400%2C800&ssl=1 4x"},"classes":[]},{"id":12726,"url":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/inflation-drops-to-9-4-first-single-digit-in-more-than-four-years\/","url_meta":{"origin":13133,"position":2},"title":"Inflation drops to 9.4%, first single-digit in more than four years","author":"Michael Teye","date":"October 3, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Headline inflation slowed further to 9.4 percent in September, marking the ninth straight monthly decline and first single-digit reading since August 2021.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;News Articles&quot;","block_context":{"text":"News Articles","link":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/category\/news-articles\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Market-maintains-inflation-outlook.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":16080,"url":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/reserves-up-cedi-down\/","url_meta":{"origin":13133,"position":3},"title":"Reserves up, cedi down","author":"Grace Agorigo","date":"May 29, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Foreign exchange (FX) reserves climbed to their highest level in more than a year in May, but the gains have yet to halt pressure on the cedi as rising corporate dollar demand, seasonal dividend repatriation and elevated oil prices continue to weigh on the currency. Recent data from the Bank\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;News Articles&quot;","block_context":{"text":"News Articles","link":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/category\/news-articles\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SNBN-13.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SNBN-13.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SNBN-13.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SNBN-13.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SNBN-13.png?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13466,"url":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/govt-imf-reach-staff-level-deal-on-5th-ecf-review\/","url_meta":{"origin":13133,"position":4},"title":"Gov\u2019t, IMF reach staff-level deal on 5th ECF review","author":"Michael Teye","date":"October 17, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Ghana has reached a staff-level agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on the fifth review of its US$3.2 billion Extended Credit Facility (ECF), paving the way for the disbursement of about US$385 million once approved by the IMF Executive Board.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;News Articles&quot;","block_context":{"text":"News Articles","link":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/category\/news-articles\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/IMF-approves-Egypts-additional-5bn-funding-820m-to-be-disbursed-.jpeg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/IMF-approves-Egypts-additional-5bn-funding-820m-to-be-disbursed-.jpeg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gnbcc.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/IMF-approves-Egypts-additional-5bn-funding-820m-to-be-disbursed-.jpeg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13186,"url":"https:\/\/gnbcc.net\/economic-recovery-holds-but-risks-linger-without-deeper-reform-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":13133,"position":5},"title":"Economic recovery holds, but risks linger without deeper reform","author":"Tracy Mensah","date":"August 15, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The economy has shown signs of stability after years of turbulence, with a sharp cedi rebound, improved fiscal balances and easing inflation. 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